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CM’s 2023 Guinea bauxite industry report, released in September 2023, investigates the impact of Guinea’s booming bauxite exports on world supply, especially into China, the destination for around 80% of Guinea’s bauxite exports in 2022. This report follows CM’s highly respected 2021 report on Guinea’s bauxite mining sector and extends the analysis in this report to the political arena, where it discusses the likelihood that Guinea’s new ruling junta take a more literal approach to implementing requirements under individual mining concessions. Could we see Guinea become a significant exporter of alumina over the next 5 to 10 years?

How likely are Guinea’s current crop of bauxite exporters to actually build and operate alumina refineries in-country and, if they did, how would it impact the global bauxite and alumina supply demand balance? This updated report discusses Guinea’s 2011 mining code in the context of the country’s current bauxite mining operations, paying special attention the impact of stricter government ownership, royalty payments, shipping and, of course, the likelihood of significant value-adding investment in alumina refineries.

This new report from CM is a detailed, bottom-up assessment of Guinea’s bauxite mining and export industry that leaves no stone unturned. At around 300 working pages, it covers in detail each existing, committed and potential new producer, as well as providing a detailed assessment of mining costs, infrastructure, reserves and resources, transport routes, ownership structures, capacities and forecast production volumes to 2033.

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China’s Aluminium Value Chain Quarterly Update is an independent and detailed assessment of the key metrics of China’s bauxite, alumina and primary aluminium industries, as we see them, presented in the form of an easily digestible set of charts and tables, together with relevant commentary on significant events, emerging trends and other key themes arising from our analysis.

For over a decade, we have been continually conducting in-depth studies of these industries in China, among which field studies are a cornerstone of our work. Over that time, we have drawn on, and continue to draw on, a diverse range of sources to gather primary data, on which our analyses and forecasts are based.

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